Paul Keil
• Machine Learning in Weather and Climate
I am interested in developing diverse machine learning solutions on all scales in weather and climate, from small models that predict Arctic surface fluxes or urban air quality to large models trained on vast amounts of patio-temporal data, for example to forecast soil moisture.
• Hybrid Modelling:
Machine learning in climate science faces unique challenges due to the out-of-training-distribution application for a future or past climates, as well as alternative scenarios. I believe that a hybrid approach that couples numerical methods with novel machine learning methods offers the best path forwards for researchers to tackle these challenges.
• Explainable und Probabilistic Machine Learning
Both researchers and stakeholder need to present and justify weather and climate forecasts to the public. Therefore, machine learning needs to explainable and must include an uncertainty estimate to increase trust and provide accountability.
• 2018 Master of Science Meteorologie: Uni Hamburg
• 2019-2022 PhD: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie
- Topic: “Tropospheric Temperatures, Warming and Involved Mechanisms."
- Supervisors: Bjorn Stevens, Hauke Schmidt
• Since 2023: Helmholtz AI consultant at hereon/DKRZ
- Meister, Marlene, u. a. „Differences in acoustic presence and vocal behavior of Spitsbergen’s bowhead whales under ice-covered and open-water conditions“. Scientific Reports, under review.
- Keil, P., H. Schmidt, B. Stevens, M. P. Byrne, u. a. „Tropical Tropospheric Warming Pattern Explained by Shifts in Convective Heating in the Matsuno–Gill Model“. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Bd. 149, Nr. 756, Oktober 2023, S. 2678–95. DOI.org (Crossref), https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4526
- Keil, P., H. Schmidt, B. Stevens, und J. Bao. „Variations of Tropical Lapse Rates in Climate Models and their Implications for Upper Tropospheric Warming“. Journal of Climate, September 2021, S. 1–50. DOI.org (Crossref), https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0196.1
- Keil, Paul, u. a. „Multiple Drivers of the North Atlantic Warming Hole“. Nature Climate Change, Bd. 10, Nr. 7, Juli 2020, S. 667–71. DOI.org (Crossref), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0819-8